Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000292 0.000327 0.000364 0.000406 0.000453 0.000504 0.000563
2025-05-04 0.000247 0.000294 0.000348 0.000413 0.000491 0.000579 0.000689
2025-05-11 0.000213 0.000268 0.000334 0.000418 0.000523 0.000650 0.000814
2025-05-18 0.000184 0.000243 0.000317 0.000415 0.000545 0.000708 0.000928
2025-05-25 0.000164 0.000226 0.000307 0.000421 0.000575 0.000777 0.001062
2025-06-01 0.000145 0.000208 0.000293 0.000416 0.000591 0.000828 0.001175
2025-06-08 0.000130 0.000193 0.000282 0.000415 0.000610 0.000883 0.001297
2025-06-15 0.000118 0.000182 0.000274 0.000417 0.000632 0.000943 0.001429
2025-06-22 0.000107 0.000170 0.000264 0.000414 0.000646 0.000993 0.001548
2025-06-29 0.000100 0.000163 0.000260 0.000419 0.000673 0.001062 0.001702
2025-07-06 0.000092 0.000155 0.000254 0.000421 0.000694 0.001123 0.001847
2025-07-13 0.000084 0.000146 0.000245 0.000417 0.000705 0.001167 0.001967
2025-07-20 0.000080 0.000143 0.000247 0.000430 0.000746 0.001266 0.002187
2025-07-27 0.000075 0.000138 0.000244 0.000436 0.000776 0.001349 0.002390
2025-08-03 0.000071 0.000132 0.000240 0.000441 0.000803 0.001429 0.002591
2025-08-10 0.000065 0.000125 0.000233 0.000438 0.000817 0.001486 0.002758
2025-08-17 0.000061 0.000121 0.000230 0.000443 0.000846 0.001572 0.002982
2025-08-24 0.000057 0.000115 0.000223 0.000438 0.000855 0.001624 0.003147
2025-08-31 0.000053 0.000109 0.000217 0.000437 0.000872 0.001689 0.003341
2025-09-07 0.000050 0.000105 0.000214 0.000439 0.000893 0.001764 0.003560
2025-09-14 0.000046 0.000100 0.000208 0.000436 0.000905 0.001822 0.003749
2025-09-21 0.000044 0.000098 0.000206 0.000441 0.000935 0.001917 0.004018
2025-09-28 0.000042 0.000094 0.000203 0.000443 0.000957 0.001998 0.004265